AIL

Alif Industries Limited · Textile · Cat Z

17/100

High risk

৳39.1

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)78.4

MACDbullish

Bollingerabove upper band

Price cycle (Wyckoff)

Health trendstable

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+2.70%

Fundamental verdictSUSTAINABLE

Confidence—

Levels

Resistance

৳39.9

৳42

৳43.5

৳45.3

Support

৳38.4

৳35.2

৳34.1

৳32.7

Historical bounce zones

Jun 23, 2025: ৳42→৳51.8 +23%

Jul 27, 2025: ৳45.4→৳63.3 +39%

Oct 20, 2025: ৳44.1→৳51.7 +17%

Nov 16, 2025: ৳38.4→৳47.8 +24%

Feb 2, 2026: ৳26.2→৳31 +18%

Mar 3, 2026: ৳26.3→৳32.8 +25%

Apr 28, 2026: ৳27.4→৳36.5 +33%

May 17, 2026: ৳30.2→৳36.3 +20%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -6% / -1.4% / 5.1%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -10.1% / -2.4% / 8%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought|Above upper Bollinger|Price reclaims MA200|Stochastic>80

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (dormant/dirty)

Reference stopn/a

Reference target—

Timing notestay out

strong artificial activity (score 251); speculative profile — not core-quality. Phase: DORMANT (3% >200-MA, flow ACC) -> watch. Z-cat. ⚠ Balance sheet DETERIORATING (Altman Z falling) — early warning. ⚠ PAPER-PROFIT — reports profit but NEGATIVE cash flow (accrual red flag; earnings not real cash). [fundamentals SUSTAINABLE, payout 42.0%, yield 2.7%]