BDTHAI

Bd.Thai Aluminium Ltd. · Engineering · Cat B

0/100

High risk

৳20.2

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)60.6

MACDbearish

Bollingerinside bands (+0.3σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+0.10%

Fundamental verdictAT-RISK

Confidence—

Levels

Resistance

৳20.3

৳21.1

৳21.8

৳22.4

Support

৳20.1

৳19.5

৳18.9

৳18.2

Historical bounce zones

Nov 24, 2025: ৳9.5→৳11.1 +17%

Nov 30, 2025: ৳10→৳14.3 +43%

Feb 1, 2026: ৳10.3→৳12 +17%

Mar 9, 2026: ৳10.3→৳13.7 +33%

Apr 5, 2026: ৳11.4→৳13.4 +18%

May 3, 2026: ৳11.9→৳14.9 +25%

Jun 7, 2026: ৳13.4→৳22.2 +66%

Jun 23, 2026: ৳18.5→৳22.7 +23%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 48% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -8.6% / -2% / 6.8%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -15.3% / -4.7% / 10.3%

Signals: Stretch>50% vs MA200

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readSLEEVE only ≈20.2 (or dip 19.7)

Reference stopclose<19.7 (raw, tight)

Reference target⅓ at 21.2, trail rest

Timing notesleeve; enter Nov-Jan; OUT by Jun/Sep

strong artificial activity (score 400); speculative profile — not core-quality. Phase: MID-MARKUP (62% >200-MA, flow ACC) -> extended well above average. HIGH sharp-fall risk 60% (top-decile). ⚠ SOLVENCY DISTRESS (Altman Z 3.29, DETERIORATING) — bankruptcy risk. high-risk. [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 0.1%]