BERGERPBL

Berger Paints Bangladesh Ltd. · Miscellaneous · Cat A

77/100

Fair

৳1,400.0

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)45.7

MACDbearish

Bollingerinside bands (-1.2σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)ACCUM

Health trendimproving

Flow pressureneutral

Valuation

Fair value1307.9 (915.5-1700.2)

Upside-7.00%

Dividend yield+3.80%

Fundamental verdictSUSTAINABLE

ConfidenceLOW (re-rate ceiling, not target)

Levels

Resistance

৳1439

৳1495

৳1557.4

৳1614.8

Support

৳1385

৳1325.6

৳1250

৳1208

Historical bounce zones

Jan 14, 2020: ৳1250→৳1439 +15%

Mar 18, 2020: ৳1208→৳1519.9 +26%

Dec 23, 2020: ৳1385→৳1639.8 +18%

Feb 8, 2021: ৳1480→৳1930 +30%

Apr 4, 2021: ৳1642.5→৳1980 +21%

Mar 8, 2022: ৳1650→৳1930 +17%

Nov 29, 2023: ৳1711.7→৳2000 +17%

Jun 10, 2024: ৳1610→৳1959 +22%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 47% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -4.8% / -0.9% / 4.3%

30-day 50% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -8.5% / -1.4% / 7.4%

Signals: Bullish Engulfing

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readdip to 1394.9–1416.8

Reference stopclose<1374.3 (buffer)

Reference targetride/trail; ref 1549.6

Timing notebuy dips Jun-Aug; trim Sep-Oct; hold+trail

Organic (score 56) — clean price history; historically holds its uptrend above the 50-day average. Real earnings. [fundamentals SUSTAINABLE, payout 72.0%, yield 3.8%]