BGIC

Bangladesh General Insurance Company PLC. · Insurance · Cat A

27/100

Weak

৳45.0

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)72.4

MACDbullish

Bollingerabove upper band

Price cycle (Wyckoff)MARKUP

Health trendstable

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value27.2 (19.0-35.3)

Upside-40.00%

Dividend yield+2.60%

Fundamental verdictWATCH

ConfidenceLOW (re-rate ceiling, not target)

Levels

Resistance

৳45.1

৳46.5

৳48

৳49.5

Support

৳44.9

৳43.4

৳42.1

৳40.8

Historical bounce zones

Apr 27, 2025: ৳30→৳36.6 +22%

Jun 23, 2025: ৳27→৳33.6 +24%

Jul 22, 2025: ৳30.5→৳35.4 +16%

Aug 20, 2025: ৳30.8→৳38.2 +24%

Nov 16, 2025: ৳28.5→৳34 +19%

Dec 21, 2025: ৳30.1→৳36.4 +21%

Mar 8, 2026: ৳29.5→৳41 +39%

May 20, 2026: ৳35.2→৳43.5 +24%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5.7% / -1.1% / 5.1%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -9.5% / -2% / 8.3%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought|Above upper Bollinger|Stochastic>80|Bearish Harami

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readWAIT (until clears both axes)

Reference stopn/a

Reference target—

Timing notewatch; no fresh money

Elevated (score 195) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: DORMANT (31% >200-MA, flow neut). Elevated sharp-fall risk 10%. [fundamentals WATCH, payout 73.0%, yield 2.6%]