BNICL

Bangladesh National Insurance Company Limited · Insurance · Cat A

0/100

High risk

৳114.6

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)56.6

MACDbearish

Bollingerinside bands (+0.2σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)

Health trendimproving

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+1.90%

Fundamental verdictSUSTAINABLE

Confidence—

Levels

Resistance

৳117

৳129

৳133.9

৳138

Support

৳114.5

৳110

৳106.3

৳99.9

Historical bounce zones

Oct 22, 2025: ৳43→৳50.1 +17%

Nov 13, 2025: ৳39→৳47.1 +21%

Dec 7, 2025: ৳43→৳50.2 +17%

Dec 21, 2025: ৳42.7→৳57.6 +35%

Feb 8, 2026: ৳51.7→৳61.4 +19%

Mar 9, 2026: ৳48.4→৳87 +80%

May 19, 2026: ৳77.6→৳119.5 +54%

Jun 21, 2026: ৳99.7→৳129.1 +29%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -6.1% / -1.2% / 4.9%

30-day 50% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -10.8% / -2.4% / 8.3%

Signals: Stretch>50% vs MA200|Evening Star|Head & Shoulders

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (no entry)

Reference stopif held: EXIT now / close<113.1

Reference target—

Timing noteexit / stay out

strong artificial activity (score 299); speculative profile — not core-quality. Phase: PEAK-DISTRIBUTION (84% >200-MA, flow neut) -> high-risk pattern. HIGH sharp-fall risk 56% (top-decile). ⚠ BSEC UNDER INVESTIGATION (2026) for artificial price activity — regulator-confirmed. high-risk. [fundamentals SUSTAINABLE, payout 46.0%, yield 1.9%]

Market activity

Block activity

Block trade ৳4.0M (1 trade), 0.5× normal public volume, institutional ownership -0.8pp.

Insider activity (disclosed)

Buy 0 / Sell 0 in the last 90 days.