CONFIDCEM

Confidence Cement PLC. · Cement · Cat A

77/100

Fair

৳71.6

DSE Hexagon

Stands out for trades below its estimated worth and clean, organic trading, held back by little dividend.

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (1)

⚠ Overbought on RSI (74)

Rewards (4)

✓ Trades below estimated fair value
✓ Financial health improving
✓ No signs of artificial price activity
✓ Earnings trending up

Score breakdown

Price history & performance

52-week high৳72.1

52-week low৳46.2

From 52w high-0.7%

Beta1.13

7D +5.6%

1M +12.9%

3M +18.0%

6M +47.0%

1Y +40.7%

YTD +43.8%

Shareholder returns vs DSEX

CONFIDCEM+6.7%

DSEX+2.4%

CONFIDCEM outperformed the DSEX since Jul 8, 2026 — that's when we started tracking the index, so this window will get longer over time.

Volatility

Annualized volatility31.7%

Daily VaR (95%)-2.87%

Max drawdown (5y)-71.6%

Correlation to market0.68

Typical volatility for a DSE stock. Descriptive only — past volatility is not a forecast.

Technical read

RSI (14)73.7

MACDbullish

Bollingerabove upper band

Price cycle (Wyckoff)MARKUP

Health trendimproving

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value167.2 (117.0-217.4)

Upside+134.00%

Dividend yield+1.50%

Fundamental verdictSUSTAINABLE

ConfidenceLOW (re-rate ceiling, not target)

Ownership

Institutional holding40.5%

Foreign holding0.15%

Free float29.01%

Sponsor, institutional, foreign and public holdings from the latest disclosed shareholding pattern. Descriptive only.

Share structure

Authorized capital৳1,000mn

Paid-up capital৳862.54mn

Face value৳10

Market lot1

Outstanding shares86,253,790

Last AGM28-12-2025

Fiscal year end30-Jun

Reserve & surplus (ex-OCI)৳5,813.9mn

Other comprehensive income৳315.8mn

Financials

Recent P/E ratio

DateCurrent P/ETrailing P/E

Jul 14, 2026 7.59 8.31

Jul 13, 2026 7.54 8.25

Jul 12, 2026 7.59 8.31

Jul 9, 2026 7.25 7.93

Jul 8, 2026 7.07 7.73

Jul 7, 2026 7 7.66

Based on the latest un-audited financial statements. Descriptive only.

Dividend history

202510%

202410%

20235%

20225%

202125%

202015%

201915%

201815%

201715%

201637.5%

201425%

201327.5%

201220%

201120%

201025%

200910%

200715%

200615%

20055%

20045%

20035%

200220%

200130%

200030%

199925%

199825%

199710%

19967.5%

19955%

Earnings & NAV

YearEPSNAVDividend

2025 11.23 88.68 10%

2024 8.73 74.75 10%

2023 3.31 69.89 5%

2022 1.43 72.26 5%

Quarterly EPS — FY2026

Q13.97

Q23.42

Half-year7.38

Q31.47

Nine-month7.12

From disclosed annual reports and dividend declarations. Descriptive only, not a forecast.

Levels

Resistance

৳72

৳74.5

৳77

৳80

Support

৳71.4

৳68.4

৳66.3

৳63.9

Historical bounce zones

Aug 28, 2024: ৳63.7→৳89.7 +41%

Oct 28, 2024: ৳43.1→৳53.6 +24%

Nov 11, 2024: ৳47.5→৳68.2 +44%

Apr 8, 2025: ৳49.5→৳57 +15%

May 17, 2025: ৳47.1→৳62.4 +32%

Aug 11, 2025: ৳56.6→৳67 +18%

Nov 13, 2025: ৳44→৳53.7 +22%

Dec 21, 2025: ৳47.8→৳70.3 +47%

Sector peers

Other Cement names, ranked by our analysis score (DSE has no market-cap feed). Descriptive comparison only.

ScripScorePriceUpsideYield

HEIDELBCEMHeidelberg Materials Bangladesh PLC. 49 ৳232.9 -77.00% +0.50%CROWNCEMNTCrown Cement PLC. 46 ৳67.3 +0.00% +3.10%LHBLafargeHolcim Bangladesh PLC. 44 ৳57.4 +14.00% +3.20%PREMIERCEMPremier Cement Mills PLC 13 ৳53.5 — +1.90%MEGHNACEMMeghna Cement Mills PLC. 0 ৳32.0 — +1.60%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5.7% / -1.1% / 5.1%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -9.5% / -2% / 8.3%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought|Above upper Bollinger|Stochastic>80|Bearish Harami

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readdip to 63.0–66.0

Reference stopclose<64.0 (buffer)

Reference targetride/trail; ref 95.2

Timing notebuy dips Jun-Aug; trim Sep-Oct; hold+trail

Organic (score 94) — clean price history; historically holds its uptrend above the 50-day average. Real earnings. Solvency GREY zone (Altman Z 1.17, RECOVERING) — watch balance sheet. [fundamentals SUSTAINABLE, payout 9.0%, yield 1.5%]