DAFODILCOM

Daffodil Computers PLC. · IT Sector · Cat B

0/100

High risk

৳163.8

DSE Hexagon

A mixed profile with no standout strength, held back by looks fully priced.

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (5)

⚠ Signs of concentrated-operator price activity
⚠ Earnings trending down
⚠ Dividend sustainability at risk
⚠ Elevated sharp-fall probability (74%)
⚠ Financial health deteriorating

Rewards (0)

No notable positives flagged.

Score breakdown

Price history & performance

52-week high৳170.6

52-week low৳29.9

From 52w high-4.0%

Beta0.99

7D +3.8%

1M +26.5%

3M +92.5%

6M +364.0%

1Y +201.1%

YTD +358.8%

Shareholder returns vs DSEX

DAFODILCOM-3.2%

DSEX+2.4%

DAFODILCOM underperformed the DSEX since Jul 8, 2026 — that's when we started tracking the index, so this window will get longer over time.

Volatility

Annualized volatility39.0%

Daily VaR (95%)-3.69%

Max drawdown (5y)-70.9%

Correlation to market0.4

Typical volatility for a DSE stock. Descriptive only — past volatility is not a forecast.

Technical read

RSI (14)61.1

MACDbullish

Bollingerinside bands (+1.0σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+0.30%

Fundamental verdictAT-RISK

Confidence—

Ownership

Institutional holding36.49%

Foreign holding0.07%

Free float22.04%

Sponsor, institutional, foreign and public holdings from the latest disclosed shareholding pattern. Descriptive only.

Share structure

Authorized capital৳2,000mn

Paid-up capital৳499.12mn

Face value৳10

Market lot1

Outstanding shares49,912,262

Last AGM29-12-2025

Fiscal year end30-Jun

Reserve & surplus (ex-OCI)৳147mn

Other comprehensive income৳0mn

Financials

Recent P/E ratio

DateCurrent P/ETrailing P/E

Jul 14, 2026 486.6 3244

Jul 13, 2026 491.4 3276

Jul 12, 2026 482.4 3216

Jul 9, 2026 511.8 3412

Jul 8, 2026 507.6 3384

Jul 7, 2026 501.9 3346

Based on the latest un-audited financial statements. Descriptive only.

Dividend history

20245%

20235%

20225%

20216%

20208%

201910%

201812%

201718%

201615%

201512%

201210%

20116%

20084%

200611%

200512%

200410%

Earnings & NAV

YearEPSNAVDividend

2025 0.16 12.9 0%

2024 0.21 13.24 5%

2023 0.54 13.53 5%

2022 0.67 13.49 5%

Quarterly EPS — FY2026

Q10.12

Q20.09

Half-year0.21

Q30.04

Nine-month0.25

From disclosed annual reports and dividend declarations. Descriptive only, not a forecast.

Levels

Resistance

৳165

Support

৳140.1

৳135

৳130

৳125.2

Historical bounce zones

Aug 21, 2025: ৳56.1→৳65 +16%

Oct 19, 2025: ৳42.3→৳49.2 +16%

Nov 16, 2025: ৳29.2→৳39.7 +36%

Dec 18, 2025: ৳34→৳46.6 +37%

Jan 25, 2026: ৳41→৳47.4 +16%

Feb 8, 2026: ৳39.1→৳149 +281%

May 24, 2026: ৳116→৳144.3 +24%

Jun 8, 2026: ৳125.2→৳165 +32%

Sector peers

Other IT Sector names, ranked by our analysis score (DSE has no market-cap feed). Descriptive comparison only.

ScripScorePriceUpsideYield

ITCIT Consultants PLC. 82 ৳51.2 +27.00% +2.30%AAMRANETaamra networks limited 56 ৳21.5 +106.00% +4.60%AGNISYSLAgni Systems PLC. 30 ৳31.7 -54.00% +0.80%ADNTELADN Telecom Limited 26 ৳70.9 — +1.40%BDCOMBDCOM Online Ltd. 12 ৳33.9 — +1.50%EGENeGeneration PLC. 11 ৳27.4 — +0.80%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -6.6% / -1.5% / 5.4%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -11.8% / -3.1% / 8.6%

Signals: Stretch>50% vs MA200|Bullish Harami

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (no entry)

Reference stopif held: EXIT now / close<155.7

Reference target—

Timing noteexit / stay out

strong artificial activity (score 350); speculative profile — not core-quality. Phase: PEAK-DISTRIBUTION (121% >200-MA, flow ACC) -> high-risk pattern. HIGH sharp-fall risk 74% (top-decile). SLOW-BURN evasion: +151% stretch / 442% run on only 8 circuits — score UNDER-rates it; consistent with concentrated-operator-style behaviour. ⚠ SOLVENCY DISTRESS (Altman Z 0.18, STABLE) — bankruptcy risk. high-risk. [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), payout 312.0%, yield 0.3%]