FBFIF

First Bangladesh Fixed Income Fund · Mutual Funds · Cat A

15/100

High risk

৳3.40

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)61.7

MACDbullish

Bollingerinside bands (+1.9σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)ACCUM

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+15.60%

Fundamental verdictAT-RISK

Confidence—

Levels

Resistance

৳3.5

৳3.7

৳3.9

৳4.1

Support

৳3.3

৳3.2

৳3.1

৳3

Historical bounce zones

May 7, 2025: ৳3.3→৳4.4 +33%

Jun 22, 2025: ৳3.2→৳3.7 +16%

Nov 16, 2025: ৳2.3→৳3.1 +35%

Jan 22, 2026: ৳2.3→৳3.1 +35%

Mar 8, 2026: ৳2.5→৳3.5 +40%

Apr 6, 2026: ৳2.9→৳3.4 +17%

May 7, 2026: ৳2.9→৳3.6 +24%

May 19, 2026: ৳2.9→৳3.4 +17%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -4% / -0.7% / 3.9%

30-day 31% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -6.7% / -0.7% / 7.3%

Signals: Bearish Harami

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readSLEEVE only ≈3.4 (or dip 3.2)

Reference stopclose<3.2 (raw, tight)

Reference target⅓ at 3.8, trail rest

Timing notesleeve; enter Nov-Jan; OUT by Jun/Sep

Elevated (score 118) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: ACCUMULATION (17% >200-MA, flow ACC). [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 15.6%]