HFL

Hamid Fabrics PLC · Textile · Cat Z

0/100

High risk

৳14.2 Non-operational

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)42.0

MACDbearish

Bollingerinside bands (-1.4σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressuredistribution

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+3.50%

Fundamental verdictAT-RISK

Confidence—

Levels

Resistance

৳14.3

৳14.8

৳15.3

৳15.8

Support

৳14.1

৳13.6

৳12.7

৳12.2

Historical bounce zones

Dec 18, 2025: ৳5.9→৳6.9 +17%

Jan 8, 2026: ৳5.4→৳6.3 +17%

Jan 28, 2026: ৳5.8→৳8.3 +43%

Mar 1, 2026: ৳6.7→৳8.4 +25%

Mar 9, 2026: ৳7.1→৳12.9 +82%

Apr 5, 2026: ৳11.5→৳17.2 +50%

May 6, 2026: ৳12.4→৳16 +29%

May 18, 2026: ৳14.2→৳17.9 +26%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -6.7% / -1.5% / 5.6%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -11.9% / -3.1% / 8.9%

Signals: Stretch>50% vs MA200|Bullish Engulfing

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readSLEEVE only ≈14.2 (or dip 15.1)

Reference stopclose<15.1 (raw, tight)

Reference target⅓ at 14.2, trail rest

Timing notesleeve; enter Nov-Jan; OUT by Jun/Sep

strong artificial activity (score 272); speculative profile — not core-quality. Phase: MID-MARKUP (51% >200-MA, flow neut) -> extended well above average. HIGH sharp-fall risk 16% (top-decile). Z-cat. HIGH-BETA 1.51 — amplifies market ~1.51x (drawdown risk in a downturn). ⚠ Balance sheet DETERIORATING (Altman Z falling) — early warning. [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 3.5%]