ICBSONALI1

ICB AMCL Sonali Bank Limited 1st Mutual Fund · Mutual Funds · Cat A

2/100

High risk

৳6.40

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)91.8

MACDbullish

Bollingerabove upper band

Price cycle (Wyckoff)MARKUP

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+4.20%

Fundamental verdictAT-RISK

Confidence—

Levels

Resistance

৳6.5

৳6.7

৳6.9

৳7.2

Support

৳6.3

৳6.1

৳5.9

৳5.7

Historical bounce zones

Jun 22, 2025: ৳5.1→৳6.5 +27%

Aug 24, 2025: ৳4.8→৳5.7 +19%

Nov 16, 2025: ৳3.8→৳4.4 +16%

Nov 23, 2025: ৳4→৳4.7 +18%

Dec 2, 2025: ৳4.1→৳5 +22%

Mar 8, 2026: ৳4.1→৳5.2 +27%

Apr 6, 2026: ৳4.4→৳5.3 +20%

May 14, 2026: ৳4.6→৳5.4 +17%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 29% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5.6% / -1.1% / 5.1%

30-day 31% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -9.4% / -1.9% / 8.3%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought|Above upper Bollinger|Bearish Harami

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (dormant/dirty)

Reference stopn/a

Reference target—

Timing notestay out

Elevated (score 134) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: DORMANT (37% >200-MA, flow ACC). HIGH sharp-fall risk 16% (top-decile). [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 4.2%]