ISLAMIINS

Islami Insurance Bangladesh Limited · Insurance · Cat A

40/100

Mixed

৳64.1

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)76.0

MACDbullish

Bollingerinside bands (+1.5σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)

Health trendimproving

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value61.4 (43.0-79.8)

Upside-4.00%

Dividend yield+3.10%

Fundamental verdictSUSTAINABLE

ConfidenceLOW (re-rate ceiling, not target)

Levels

Resistance

৳64.8

৳66.9

৳70

৳77.9

Support

৳63.1

৳60.2

৳57.3

৳54.5

Historical bounce zones

Sep 9, 2024: ৳38.6→৳49.5 +28%

Oct 29, 2024: ৳36→৳42 +17%

Apr 23, 2025: ৳34→৳39.5 +16%

May 8, 2025: ৳35.1→৳40.5 +15%

Jun 23, 2025: ৳35.1→৳42 +20%

Aug 13, 2025: ৳37.8→৳44.9 +19%

Dec 7, 2025: ৳35.9→৳42.5 +18%

Apr 5, 2026: ৳35.5→৳44.8 +26%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -7.1% / -1.5% / 6%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -12.2% / -3.1% / 9.3%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought|Stretch>50% vs MA200|Stochastic>80

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readdip to 52.0–59.6

Reference stopclose<57.8 (buffer)

Reference targetride/trail; ref 93.5

Timing notebuy dips Jun-Aug; trim Sep-Oct; hold+trail

Elevated (score 197) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: MID-MARKUP (52% >200-MA, flow ACC). HIGH sharp-fall risk 21% (top-decile). [fundamentals SUSTAINABLE, payout 59.0%, yield 3.1%]

Market activity

Block activity

Block trade ৳14.9M (1 trade), 0.5× normal public volume, institutional ownership -0.9pp.