JAMUNAOIL

Jamuna Oil Company Limited · Fuel and Power · Cat A

82/100

Strong

৳184.4

DSE Hexagon

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (2)

⚠ Overbought on RSI (71)
⚠ Thin free float — prone to sharp swings

Rewards (6)

✓ Trades below estimated fair value
✓ Sustainable dividend yield (9.9%)
✓ Financial health improving
✓ No signs of artificial price activity
✓ Earnings trending up
✓ Strong return on equity (21%)

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)70.8

MACDbullish

Bollingerinside bands (+1.3σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)MARKUP

Health trendimproving

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value611.6 (428.1-795.1)

Upside+232.00%

Dividend yield+9.90%

Fundamental verdictSUSTAINABLE

ConfidenceLOW (re-rate ceiling, not target)

Levels

Resistance

৳185

৳191.1

৳197

৳204.3

Support

৳183.1

৳177

৳171.3

৳165.7

Historical bounce zones

Oct 10, 2019: ৳127.3→৳147.2 +16%

Jan 14, 2020: ৳133→৳160.5 +21%

Mar 18, 2020: ৳132.8→৳174.9 +32%

Apr 4, 2021: ৳146→৳199.8 +37%

Mar 8, 2022: ৳155.4→৳190 +22%

Jun 2, 2024: ৳166.2→৳214.9 +29%

Oct 23, 2024: ৳165→৳202 +22%

Dec 26, 2024: ৳167.8→৳199.5 +19%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -6.7% / -1.3% / 6%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -11.5% / -2.8% / 9.3%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readdip to 172.9–178.9

Reference stopclose<173.5 (buffer)

Reference targetride/trail; ref 224.6

Timing notebuy dips Jun-Aug; trim Sep-Oct; hold+trail

Organic (score 23) — clean price history; historically holds its uptrend above the 50-day average. Real earnings. [fundamentals SUSTAINABLE, payout 31.0%, yield 9.9%]