KEYACOSMET

Keya Cosmetics Ltd. · Pharmaceuticals and Chemicals · Cat Z

12/100

High risk

৳5.10

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)55.5

MACDbullish

Bollingerinside bands (+0.5σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+1.90%

Fundamental verdictSUSTAINABLE

Confidence—

Levels

Resistance

৳5.2

৳5.4

৳5.6

৳6

Support

৳5

৳4.8

৳4.6

৳4.4

Historical bounce zones

Jan 27, 2025: ৳4.2→৳4.9 +17%

Jan 29, 2025: ৳4.5→৳5.4 +20%

Apr 20, 2025: ৳4.2→৳5.2 +24%

Nov 16, 2025: ৳3.3→৳4.7 +42%

Jan 12, 2026: ৳4→৳6.1 +52%

Mar 1, 2026: ৳5→৳6 +20%

Mar 8, 2026: ৳4.8→৳5.7 +19%

May 13, 2026: ৳4.1→৳5.4 +32%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 29% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5% / -1.2% / 3.6%

30-day 31% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -8.7% / -1.7% / 6.7%

Signals: Bearish Engulfing

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readSLEEVE only ≈5.1 (or dip 5.0)

Reference stopclose<5.0 (raw, tight)

Reference target⅓ at 5.3, trail rest

Timing notesleeve; enter Nov-Jan; OUT by Jun/Sep

Elevated (score 192) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: ACCUMULATION (9% >200-MA, flow ACC). Z-cat. ⚠ SOLVENCY DISTRESS (Altman Z 0.75, DETERIORATING) — bankruptcy risk. high-risk. ⚠ PAPER-PROFIT — reports profit but NEGATIVE cash flow (accrual red flag; earnings not real cash). [fundamentals SUSTAINABLE, payout 42.0%, yield 1.9%]