LRBDL

Lub-rref (Bangladesh) Limited · Fuel and Power · Cat Z

0/100

High risk

৳15.5

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)85.0

MACDbullish

Bollingerabove upper band

Price cycle (Wyckoff)MARKUP

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+0.60%

Fundamental verdictAT-RISK

Confidence—

Levels

Resistance

৳15.7

৳16.6

৳19.8

৳20.7

Support

৳15.2

৳13.7

৳13.2

৳12.5

Historical bounce zones

Jun 23, 2025: ৳13.4→৳15.7 +17%

Aug 24, 2025: ৳13.5→৳16 +19%

Nov 16, 2025: ৳9→৳13.3 +48%

Nov 30, 2025: ৳9.9→৳11.7 +18%

Feb 1, 2026: ৳8.5→৳10.8 +27%

Mar 8, 2026: ৳9.6→৳11.2 +17%

Apr 6, 2026: ৳9.4→৳10.9 +16%

May 10, 2026: ৳9.5→৳12.8 +35%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 29% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -6.2% / -1.3% / 5.5%

30-day 31% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -10.4% / -2.4% / 8.7%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought|Above upper Bollinger|Stochastic>80

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (dormant/dirty)

Reference stopn/a

Reference target—

Timing notestay out

Elevated (score 184) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: DORMANT (39% >200-MA, flow ACC). HIGH sharp-fall risk 20% (top-decile). Z-cat. ⚠ SOLVENCY DISTRESS (Altman Z 1.36, DETERIORATING) — bankruptcy risk. high-risk. [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 0.6%]