DSE Analyst data: 2026-07-13

MEGCONMILK

Meghna Condensed Milk Industries Ltd. · Food and Allied · Cat Z
0/100
High risk
৳37.9 Non-operational

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)48.1
MACDbearish
Bollingerinside bands (-0.2σ)
Price cycle (Wyckoff)
Health trenddeteriorating
Flow pressuredistribution

Valuation

Fair value ()
Upside
Dividend yield+0.00%
Fundamental verdictAT-RISK
Confidence

Levels

Resistance

৳38
৳39.2
৳40.4
৳41.8

Support

৳37.6
৳36.4
৳35.1
৳34

Historical bounce zones

Mar 24, 2026: ৳30.5→৳36.9 +21%
Apr 6, 2026: ৳30.7→৳39.4 +28%
Apr 22, 2026: ৳32.8→৳38.8 +18%
May 7, 2026: ৳32.1→৳44.2 +38%
May 24, 2026: ৳38.6→৳51 +32%
Jun 8, 2026: ৳38.3→৳45.8 +20%
Jun 15, 2026: ৳34.5→৳42 +22%
Jun 23, 2026: ৳34.1→৳40.5 +19%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -8.6% / -2% / 6.8%
30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -15.3% / -4.7% / 10.3%

Signals: Stretch>50% vs MA200

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readSLEEVE only ≈37.9 (or dip 38.3)
Reference stopclose<38.3 (raw, tight)
Reference target⅓ at 37.9, trail rest
Timing notesleeve; enter Nov-Jan; OUT by Jun/Sep

extreme artificial activity (score 506); speculative profile — not core-quality. Phase: MID-MARKUP (52% >200-MA, flow neut) -> extended well above average. HIGH sharp-fall risk 23% (top-decile). History of artificial price activity (regulator-cited). PINNED/BOXED now (control-shift) — quiet accumulation, pre-markup; watch. Z-cat. ⚠ SOLVENCY DISTRESS (Altman Z -3.62, RECOVERING) — bankruptcy risk. high-risk. [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 0.0%]

Educational market analysis for the Dhaka Stock Exchange. Descriptive information only — not investment advice, not a buy/sell recommendation, and not from a licensed advisor. Prices and analysis can be delayed or wrong; verify with your broker before acting.