MPETROLEUM

Meghna Petroleum Limited · Fuel and Power · Cat A

83/100

Strong

৳215.5

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)63.8

MACDbullish

Bollingerinside bands (+1.2σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)ACCUM

Health trendimproving

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value639.6 (447.7-831.5)

Upside+197.00%

Dividend yield+9.40%

Fundamental verdictSUSTAINABLE

ConfidenceLOW (re-rate ceiling, not target)

Levels

Resistance

৳215.9

৳222.5

৳231

৳239.9

Support

৳215.2

৳208.2

৳201.8

৳195.7

Historical bounce zones

Dec 3, 2018: ৳186→৳244 +31%

Jan 14, 2020: ৳151→৳189 +25%

Mar 18, 2020: ৳150.5→৳210 +40%

Nov 24, 2020: ৳176.8→৳214.5 +21%

Apr 4, 2021: ৳160.3→৳218.9 +37%

Nov 9, 2021: ৳190→৳221 +16%

Mar 8, 2022: ৳184.5→৳239.9 +30%

Dec 21, 2025: ৳187.3→৳218 +16%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5.3% / -1.1% / 4.7%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -9.1% / -1.7% / 7.9%

Signals: Stochastic>80|Bullish Engulfing

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readdip to 206.1–212.1

Reference stopclose<205.7 (buffer)

Reference targetride/trail; ref 254.9

Timing notebuy dips Jun-Aug; trim Sep-Oct; hold+trail

Organic (score 19) — clean price history; historically holds its uptrend above the 50-day average. Real earnings. Solvency GREY zone (Altman Z 1.96, RECOVERING) — watch balance sheet. [fundamentals SUSTAINABLE, payout 33.0%, yield 9.4%]