NCCBLMF1

NCCBL Mutual Fund-1 · Mutual Funds · Cat A

49/100

Mixed

৳5.70

DSE Hexagon

Stands out for a meaningful dividend and clean, organic trading, held back by a weak earnings record.

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (3)

⚠ Earnings trending down
⚠ Overbought on RSI (77)
⚠ Financial health deteriorating

Rewards (4)

✓ Trades below estimated fair value
✓ Sustainable dividend yield (9.2%)
✓ In an accumulation phase
✓ No signs of artificial price activity

Score breakdown

Price history & performance

52-week high৳5.80

52-week low৳3.30

From 52w high-1.7%

Beta—

7D +29.5%

1M +32.6%

3M +23.9%

6M +42.5%

1Y +9.6%

YTD +42.5%

Shareholder returns vs DSEX

NCCBLMF1+11.8%

DSEX+2.4%

NCCBLMF1 outperformed the DSEX since Jul 8, 2026 — that's when we started tracking the index, so this window will get longer over time.

Volatility

Annualized volatility35.9%

Daily VaR (95%)-2.86%

Max drawdown (5y)-64.5%

Correlation to market—

Typical volatility for a DSE stock. Descriptive only — past volatility is not a forecast.

Technical read

RSI (14)77.0

MACDbullish

Bollingerabove upper band

Price cycle (Wyckoff)ACCUM

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value7.3 (5.1-9.5)

Upside+28.00%

Dividend yield+9.20%

Fundamental verdictWATCH

ConfidenceLOW (re-rate ceiling, not target)

Ownership

Institutional holding66.36%

Foreign holding0.0%

Free float18.64%

Sponsor, institutional, foreign and public holdings from the latest disclosed shareholding pattern. Descriptive only.

Share structure

Authorized capital—

Paid-up capital৳1,085.03mn

Face value৳10

Market lot1

Outstanding shares108,503,401

Last AGM—

Fiscal year end31-Dec

Reserve & surplus (ex-OCI)৳105.5mn

Other comprehensive income৳0mn

Financials

Recent P/E ratio

DateCurrent P/ETrailing P/E

Jul 14, 2026 — —

Jul 13, 2026 — —

Jul 12, 2026 — —

Jul 9, 2026 — —

Jul 8, 2026 — —

Jul 7, 2026 — —

Based on the latest un-audited financial statements. Descriptive only.

Dividend history

20234.5%

20226%

202112%

20207.25%

20186%

201710%

20164.5%

20156.5%

20143%

Earnings & NAV

YearEPSNAVDividend

2023 0.61 10.97 4.5%

2022 0.42 11.43 6%

2021 1.4 12.83 12%

2020 1.12 11.81 7.25%

Quarterly EPS — FY2024

Q1-0.789

Q2-0.127

Half-year-0.917

Q30.457

Nine-month-0.46

From disclosed annual reports and dividend declarations. Descriptive only, not a forecast.

Levels

Resistance

৳5.8

৳6

৳6.2

৳6.4

Support

৳5.6

৳5.4

৳5.2

৳5

Historical bounce zones

Nov 16, 2025: ৳3.1→৳4.4 +42%

Dec 2, 2025: ৳3.8→৳4.4 +16%

Dec 4, 2025: ৳3.8→৳4.4 +16%

Dec 30, 2025: ৳3.6→৳4.4 +22%

Jan 11, 2026: ৳3.9→৳4.5 +15%

Jan 26, 2026: ৳3.8→৳4.9 +29%

Mar 8, 2026: ৳3.9→৳4.8 +23%

May 4, 2026: ৳4.1→৳4.9 +20%

Sector peers

Other Mutual Funds names, ranked by our analysis score (DSE has no market-cap feed). Descriptive comparison only.

ScripScorePriceUpsideYield

GLDNJMFICB AMCL CMSF Golden Jubilee Mutual Fund 49 ৳7.70 — +3.70%CAPITECGBFCapitec Grameen Bank Growth Fund 36 ৳8.20 — +4.20%GRAMEENS2Grameen One : Scheme Two 30 ৳13.0 -25.00% +5.80%LRGLOBMF1LR Global Bangladesh Mutual Fund One 19 ৳3.80 — +8.10%MBL1STMFMBL 1st Mutual Fund 19 ৳4.50 — +10.10%POPULAR1MFPopular Life First Mutual Fund 18 ৳3.50 — +7.60%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 29% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -6.2% / -1.3% / 5.5%

30-day 31% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -10.4% / -2.4% / 8.7%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought|Above upper Bollinger|Stochastic>80

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readdip to 4.4–4.5

Reference stopclose<4.4 (buffer)

Reference targetride/trail; ref 8.7

Timing notebuy dips Jun-Aug; trim Sep-Oct; hold+trail

Organic (score 102) — clean price history; historically holds its uptrend above the 50-day average. Real earnings. Elevated sharp-fall risk 14%. [fundamentals WATCH, payout 74.0%, yield 9.2%]