DSE Analyst data: 2026-07-13

NORTHERN

Northern Jute Manufacturing Co. Ltd. · Jute · Cat Z
0/100
High risk
৳112.6 Non-operational

DSE Hexagon

Stands out for a strong earnings record, held back by little dividend.

Value51Financial Health38Dividend5Quality72Momentum55Integrity38

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (2)

  • ⚠ Not actively trading or flagged non-operational
  • ⚠ Z-category — higher default/governance risk

Rewards (1)

  • ✓ Earnings trending up

Score breakdown

Price history & performance

52-week high৳139.2
52-week low৳80.4
From 52w high-19.1%
Beta0.91
7D +0.2%
1M +0.7%
3M -5.7%
6M +11.8%
1Y +15.5%
YTD +28.8%

Shareholder returns vs DSEX

NORTHERN+0.1%
DSEX+2.4%

NORTHERN underperformed the DSEX since Jul 8, 2026 — that's when we started tracking the index, so this window will get longer over time.

Volatility

Annualized volatility42.7%
Daily VaR (95%)-3.74%
Max drawdown (5y)-80.2%
Correlation to market0.37

Typical volatility for a DSE stock. Descriptive only — past volatility is not a forecast.

Technical read

RSI (14)53.4
MACDbullish
Bollingerinside bands (+1.0σ)
Price cycle (Wyckoff)
Health trendstable
Flow pressuredistribution

Valuation

Fair value ()
Upside
Dividend yield+0.40%
Fundamental verdictWATCH
Confidence

Ownership

Institutional holding0.0%
Foreign holding0.0%
Free float84.91%

Sponsor, institutional, foreign and public holdings from the latest disclosed shareholding pattern. Descriptive only.

Share structure

Authorized capital৳100mn
Paid-up capital৳21.42mn
Face value৳10
Market lot1
Outstanding shares2,142,000
Last AGM27-12-2020
Fiscal year end30-Jun
Reserve & surplus (ex-OCI)৳153.5mn
Other comprehensive income৳0mn

Financials

Recent P/E ratio

DateCurrent P/ETrailing P/E
Jul 14, 2026
Jul 13, 2026
Jul 12, 2026
Jul 9, 2026
Jul 8, 2026
Jul 7, 2026

Based on the latest un-audited financial statements. Descriptive only.

Dividend history

20205%
2019100%
201720%
20165%
201520%

Earnings & NAV

YearEPSNAVDividend
2020 11.33 81.66 5%
2019 23.29 80.33 100%
2018 -17.15 57.04 0%
2017 5.13 91.03 20%

Quarterly EPS — FY2020

Q1-6.24
Q2
Half-year
Q3
Nine-month

From disclosed annual reports and dividend declarations. Descriptive only, not a forecast.

Levels

Resistance

৳113.3
৳117.9
৳122.3
৳126

Support

৳112
৳107.3
৳103.3
৳100.1

Historical bounce zones

Aug 11, 2025: ৳111.6→৳136.1 +22%
Nov 10, 2025: ৳78.6→৳93.4 +19%
Nov 16, 2025: ৳75.1→৳89 +19%
Dec 1, 2025: ৳81.6→৳124.1 +52%
Jan 22, 2026: ৳79.5→৳96.8 +22%
Feb 5, 2026: ৳85.5→৳99.9 +17%
Feb 22, 2026: ৳91.3→৳141.2 +55%
Apr 29, 2026: ৳105→৳127.2 +21%

Sector peers

Other Jute names, ranked by our analysis score (DSE has no market-cap feed). Descriptive comparison only.

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5.3% / -1.1% / 4.7%
30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -9.1% / -1.7% / 7.9%

Signals: Stochastic>80|Bullish Engulfing

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (no entry)
Reference stopif held: EXIT now / close<110.3
Reference target
Timing noteexit / stay out

Elevated (score 171) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: DUMPING (11% >200-MA, flow DIST). Z-cat. ⚠ SOLVENCY DISTRESS (Altman Z -1.19, DETERIORATING) — bankruptcy risk. high-risk. [fundamentals WATCH, payout 4.0%, yield 0.4%]

My notes

Educational market analysis for the Dhaka Stock Exchange. Descriptive information only — not investment advice, not a buy/sell recommendation, and not from a licensed advisor. Prices and analysis can be delayed or wrong; verify with your broker before acting.