NTC

National Tea Company Ltd. · Food and Allied · Cat Z

0/100

High risk

৳166.6

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)60.2

MACDbullish

Bollingerinside bands (+1.7σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)ACCUM

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+0.40%

Fundamental verdictAT-RISK

Confidence—

Levels

Resistance

৳170

৳175.2

৳180.6

৳187.5

Support

৳165.5

৳160

৳153

৳141

Historical bounce zones

May 28, 2025: ৳137.7→৳171 +24%

Jun 22, 2025: ৳150→৳213.1 +42%

Aug 27, 2025: ৳187→৳222 +19%

Oct 19, 2025: ৳150.5→৳174.7 +16%

Nov 13, 2025: ৳150.5→৳183.3 +22%

Dec 1, 2025: ৳161→৳187.5 +16%

Mar 9, 2026: ৳141→৳181 +28%

May 21, 2026: ৳151.9→৳177 +17%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5% / -1.2% / 3.6%

30-day 31% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -8.7% / -1.7% / 6.7%

Signals: Bearish Engulfing

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (dormant/dirty)

Reference stopn/a

Reference target—

Timing notestay out

Elevated (score 170) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: DORMANT (1% >200-MA, flow neut). Z-cat. ⚠ SOLVENCY DISTRESS (Altman Z -2.89, DETERIORATING) — bankruptcy risk. high-risk. [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 0.4%]