NTLTUBES

National Tubes Limited · Engineering · Cat B

63/100

Fair

৳74.3

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)75.4

MACDbullish

Bollingerinside bands (+2.0σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)MARKUP

Health trendstable

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value31.0 (21.7-40.2)

Upside-58.00%

Dividend yield+0.10%

Fundamental verdictWATCH

ConfidenceLOW (re-rate ceiling, not target)

Levels

Resistance

৳75

৳77.6

৳80

৳83.8

Support

৳73.6

৳71.1

৳69

৳66.4

Historical bounce zones

Oct 28, 2024: ৳68→৳80 +18%

Nov 13, 2024: ৳69→৳96.9 +40%

Mar 23, 2025: ৳77.5→৳90 +16%

May 15, 2025: ৳68→৳91.8 +35%

Oct 19, 2025: ৳67.7→৳80 +18%

Nov 16, 2025: ৳56.5→৳66.5 +18%

Mar 8, 2026: ৳56→৳65.5 +17%

May 20, 2026: ৳58.2→৳70.9 +22%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -6.1% / -1.3% / 5%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -10.1% / -2.1% / 8.3%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought|Stochastic>80|Gravestone Doji

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readdip to 63.5–67.5

Reference stopclose<65.5 (buffer)

Reference targetride/trail; ref 102.3

Timing notebuy dips Jun-Aug; trim Sep-Oct; hold+trail

Organic (score 97) — clean price history; historically holds its uptrend above the 50-day average. Real earnings. ⚠ Balance sheet DETERIORATING (Altman Z falling) — early warning. [fundamentals WATCH, payout 6.0%, yield 0.1%]