PF1STMF

Phoenix Finance 1st Mutual Fund · Mutual Funds · Cat A

0/100

High risk

৳11.3

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)80.4

MACDbullish

Bollingerabove upper band

Price cycle (Wyckoff)

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+2.70%

Fundamental verdictAT-RISK

Confidence—

Levels

Resistance

৳11.4

৳11.8

৳12.2

৳12.6

Support

৳11.2

৳10.8

৳10

৳9.7

Historical bounce zones

Apr 6, 2025: ৳5→৳5.9 +18%

Apr 27, 2025: ৳5→৳6.1 +22%

Jun 22, 2025: ৳4.9→৳5.7 +16%

Nov 11, 2025: ৳4.6→৳5.4 +17%

Jan 15, 2026: ৳4.7→৳5.6 +19%

Mar 8, 2026: ৳4.7→৳5.9 +26%

Apr 6, 2026: ৳5→৳8 +60%

May 12, 2026: ৳6.7→৳8.5 +27%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 29% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -6.4% / -1.4% / 5.5%

30-day 31% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -11% / -2.6% / 8.7%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought|Stretch>50% vs MA200|Above upper Bollinger|Stochastic>80|Bullish Engulfing

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (no entry)

Reference stopif held: EXIT now / close<9.1

Reference target—

Timing noteexit / stay out

Elevated (score 179) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: PEAK-DISTRIBUTION (92% >200-MA, flow ACC). HIGH sharp-fall risk 62% (top-decile). [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 2.7%]

Market activity

Insider activity (disclosed)

Buy 0 / Sell 1 in the last 90 days.