RAKCERAMIC

RAK Ceramics (Bangladesh) Limited · Ceramics Sector · Cat A

0/100

High risk

৳30.2

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)67.8

MACDbearish

Bollingerinside bands (+1.1σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)DIST

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+3.30%

Fundamental verdictAT-RISK

Confidence—

Levels

Resistance

৳30.4

৳31.4

৳32.3

৳33.4

Support

৳30

৳28.8

৳27.8

৳26.8

Historical bounce zones

Jan 30, 2025: ৳22.1→৳26.3 +19%

Mar 10, 2025: ৳22.1→৳25.5 +15%

May 28, 2025: ৳17.8→৳25 +40%

Aug 13, 2025: ৳21.4→৳27.4 +28%

Sep 22, 2025: ৳23.1→৳26.7 +16%

Nov 13, 2025: ৳19.2→৳23.5 +22%

Jan 12, 2026: ৳22→৳26.1 +19%

May 3, 2026: ৳22.4→৳31 +38%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -4.7% / -0.8% / 3.8%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -8.6% / -1.6% / 6.6%

Signals: MACD bear cross|Three Outside Down

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (dormant/dirty)

Reference stopn/a

Reference target—

Timing notestay out

Elevated (score 170) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: DORMANT (26% >200-MA, flow ACC). Elevated sharp-fall risk 8%. ⚠ SOLVENCY DISTRESS (Altman Z 1.67, STABLE) — bankruptcy risk. high-risk. [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 3.3%]