RELIANCE1

Reliance One the first scheme of Reliance Insurance Mutual Fund · Mutual Funds · Cat A

11/100

High risk

৳12.1

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)69.9

MACDbullish

Bollingerinside bands (+1.9σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+3.30%

Fundamental verdictAT-RISK

Confidence—

Levels

Resistance

৳12.2

৳12.6

৳13

৳13.4

Support

৳12

৳11.6

৳11.2

৳10.8

Historical bounce zones

Aug 17, 2025: ৳14.1→৳16.3 +16%

Sep 22, 2025: ৳13.4→৳18 +34%

Oct 14, 2025: ৳16.2→৳18.8 +16%

Nov 13, 2025: ৳12.1→৳15 +24%

Dec 8, 2025: ৳13→৳16.2 +25%

Dec 18, 2025: ৳13.9→৳17.5 +26%

Jan 11, 2026: ৳13.9→৳16.5 +19%

Mar 9, 2026: ৳11.4→৳13.2 +16%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -6.7% / -1.3% / 6%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -11.5% / -2.8% / 9.3%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (dormant/dirty)

Reference stopn/a

Reference target—

Timing notestay out

Elevated (score 138) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: DORMANT (-10% >200-MA, flow ACC). [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 3.3%]