DSE Analyst data: 2026-07-13

SAFKOSPINN

Safko Spinnings Mills Ltd. · Textile · Cat Z
0/100
High risk
৳21.0

DSE Hexagon

A mixed profile with no standout strength, held back by little dividend.

Value50Financial Health38Dividend11Quality43Momentum55Integrity16

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (5)

  • ⚠ Z-category — higher default/governance risk
  • ⚠ Signs of concentrated-operator price activity
  • ⚠ Earnings trending down
  • ⚠ Dividend sustainability at risk
  • ⚠ Financial health deteriorating

Rewards (1)

  • ✓ Strong return on equity (167%)

Score breakdown

Price history & performance

52-week high৳23.6
52-week low৳8.90
From 52w high-11.0%
Beta0.91
7D +0.5%
1M +1.9%
3M +27.3%
6M +59.1%
1Y +125.8%
YTD +56.7%

Shareholder returns vs DSEX

SAFKOSPINN-4.5%
DSEX+2.4%

SAFKOSPINN underperformed the DSEX since Jul 8, 2026 — that's when we started tracking the index, so this window will get longer over time.

Volatility

Annualized volatility49.2%
Daily VaR (95%)-4.29%
Max drawdown (5y)-76.3%
Correlation to market0.38

Typical volatility for a DSE stock. Descriptive only — past volatility is not a forecast.

Technical read

RSI (14)51.5
MACDbullish
Bollingerinside bands (+0.5σ)
Price cycle (Wyckoff)
Health trenddeteriorating
Flow pressuredistribution

Valuation

Fair value ()
Upside
Dividend yield+0.90%
Fundamental verdictAT-RISK
Confidence

Ownership

Institutional holding4.25%
Foreign holding0.0%
Free float65.75%

Sponsor, institutional, foreign and public holdings from the latest disclosed shareholding pattern. Descriptive only.

Share structure

Authorized capital৳1,000mn
Paid-up capital৳299.82mn
Face value৳10
Market lot1
Outstanding shares29,981,716
Last AGM24-12-2025
Fiscal year end30-Jun
Reserve & surplus (ex-OCI)৳-434.8mn
Other comprehensive income৳0mn

Financials

Recent P/E ratio

DateCurrent P/ETrailing P/E
Jul 14, 2026
Jul 13, 2026
Jul 12, 2026
Jul 9, 2026
Jul 8, 2026
Jul 7, 2026

Based on the latest un-audited financial statements. Descriptive only.

Dividend history

20222%
20215%

Earnings & NAV

YearEPSNAVDividend
2025 -7.52 -4.5 0%
2024 -12.97 2.99 0%
2023 -5.52 15.94 0%
2022 0.33 21.44 2%

Quarterly EPS — FY2026

Q1-1.74
Q2-0.31
Half-year-2.07
Q3-1.18
Nine-month-3.25

From disclosed annual reports and dividend declarations. Descriptive only, not a forecast.

Levels

Resistance

৳21.1
৳21.7
৳22.5
৳23.2

Support

৳20.8
৳20.1
৳19.4
৳18.7

Historical bounce zones

Sep 1, 2025: ৳14.5→৳17.8 +23%
Nov 16, 2025: ৳12.2→৳14.6 +20%
Mar 8, 2026: ৳12.4→৳17.3 +40%
Apr 6, 2026: ৳15.2→৳19 +25%
Apr 23, 2026: ৳16.9→৳22.2 +31%
May 11, 2026: ৳19.4→৳24.7 +27%
Jun 21, 2026: ৳18.3→৳21.9 +20%
Jun 29, 2026: ৳19.9→৳22.9 +15%

Sector peers

Other Textile names, ranked by our analysis score (DSE has no market-cap feed). Descriptive comparison only.

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5% / -1% / 3.8%
30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -8.9% / -1.8% / 6.6%

Signals: Three Outside Down

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (dormant/dirty)
Reference stopn/a
Reference target
Timing notestay out

strong artificial activity (score 374); speculative profile — not core-quality. Phase: DORMANT (33% >200-MA, flow neut) -> watch. Elevated sharp-fall risk 11%. Z-cat. ⚠ SOLVENCY DISTRESS (Altman Z -2.32, DETERIORATING) — bankruptcy risk. high-risk. [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 0.9%]

My notes

Educational market analysis for the Dhaka Stock Exchange. Descriptive information only — not investment advice, not a buy/sell recommendation, and not from a licensed advisor. Prices and analysis can be delayed or wrong; verify with your broker before acting.