SAIFPOWER

SAIF Powertec Limited · Services and Real Estate · Cat Z

0/100

High risk

৳10.0

DSE Hexagon

Stands out for trades below its estimated worth and constructive price action, held back by little dividend.

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (5)

⚠ Z-category — higher default/governance risk
⚠ Signs of concentrated-operator price activity
⚠ Earnings trending down
⚠ Elevated sharp-fall probability (28%)
⚠ Financial health deteriorating

Rewards (1)

✓ Trades below estimated fair value

Score breakdown

Price history & performance

52-week high৳11.2

52-week low৳3.80

From 52w high-10.7%

Beta1.44

7D -8.3%

1M +49.3%

3M +40.8%

6M +108.3%

1Y +35.1%

YTD +104.1%

Shareholder returns vs DSEX

SAIFPOWER-2.9%

DSEX+2.4%

SAIFPOWER underperformed the DSEX since Jul 8, 2026 — that's when we started tracking the index, so this window will get longer over time.

Volatility

Annualized volatility46.5%

Daily VaR (95%)-3.98%

Max drawdown (5y)-92.1%

Correlation to market0.52

Typical volatility for a DSE stock. Descriptive only — past volatility is not a forecast.

Technical read

RSI (14)60.6

MACDbearish

Bollingerinside bands (+0.5σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)MARKUP

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+1.00%

Fundamental verdictWATCH

Confidence—

Ownership

Institutional holding19.8%

Foreign holding0.0%

Free float40.14%

Sponsor, institutional, foreign and public holdings from the latest disclosed shareholding pattern. Descriptive only.

Share structure

Authorized capital৳5,000mn

Paid-up capital৳3,793.39mn

Face value৳10

Market lot1

Outstanding shares379,338,647

Last AGM30-12-2024

Fiscal year end30-Jun

Reserve & surplus (ex-OCI)৳1,681.4mn

Other comprehensive income৳0mn

Financials

Recent P/E ratio

DateCurrent P/ETrailing P/E

Jul 14, 2026 14.29 —

Jul 13, 2026 14.29 —

Jul 12, 2026 13.71 —

Jul 9, 2026 14.57 —

Jul 8, 2026 14.71 —

Jul 7, 2026 15 —

Based on the latest un-audited financial statements. Descriptive only.

Dividend history

20241%

202210%

202110%

20205%

20194%

20185%

20175%

20165%

Earnings & NAV

YearEPSNAVDividend

2024 0.7 17.01 1%

2023 0.76 16.31 0%

2022 1.32 17.91 10%

2021 1.75 17.11 10%

Quarterly EPS — FY2024

Q1—

Q2—

Half-year—

Q3—

Nine-month—

From disclosed annual reports and dividend declarations. Descriptive only, not a forecast.

Levels

Resistance

৳10.2

৳11.5

৳11.9

৳12.4

Support

৳9.5

৳8.7

৳8.4

৳7.5

Historical bounce zones

Aug 25, 2025: ৳5.5→৳7.1 +29%

Nov 16, 2025: ৳3.8→৳5.8 +53%

Jan 27, 2026: ৳4.6→৳7.5 +63%

Mar 4, 2026: ৳6.2→৳7.4 +19%

Mar 12, 2026: ৳6.6→৳8 +21%

May 21, 2026: ৳5.8→৳7.5 +29%

Jun 8, 2026: ৳6.4→৳10.2 +59%

Jun 22, 2026: ৳8.3→৳11.5 +39%

Sector peers

Other Services and Real Estate names, ranked by our analysis score (DSE has no market-cap feed). Descriptive comparison only.

ScripScorePriceUpsideYield

SAPORTLSummit Alliance Port Limited 49 ৳51.2 -10.00% +3.60%SAMORITASamorita Hospital Limited 33 ৳93.0 -89.00% +0.50%EHLEastern Housing Limited 11 ৳99.3 — +2.50%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -8.6% / -2% / 6.8%

30-day 31% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -15.3% / -4.7% / 10.3%

Signals: Stretch>50% vs MA200

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readSLEEVE only ≈10.0 (or dip 9.3)

Reference stopclose<9.3 (raw, tight)

Reference target⅓ at 11.4, trail rest

Timing notesleeve; enter Nov-Jan; OUT by Jun/Sep

strong artificial activity (score 298); speculative profile — not core-quality. Phase: MID-MARKUP (62% >200-MA, flow ACC) -> extended well above average. HIGH sharp-fall risk 28% (top-decile). Z-cat. HIGH-BETA 1.44 — amplifies market ~1.44x (drawdown risk in a downturn). ⚠ SOLVENCY DISTRESS (Altman Z 0.78, STABLE) — bankruptcy risk. high-risk. [fundamentals WATCH, payout 14.0%, yield 1.0%]