SEMLIBBLSF

SEML IBBL Shariah Fund · Mutual Funds · Cat A

6/100

High risk

৳7.80

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)78.2

MACDbullish

Bollingerinside bands (+1.8σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)MARKUP

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+6.00%

Fundamental verdictAT-RISK

Confidence—

Levels

Resistance

৳7.9

৳8.2

৳8.5

৳8.8

Support

৳7.6

৳7.3

৳7

৳6.7

Historical bounce zones

Aug 4, 2024: ৳6.3→৳8 +27%

Oct 21, 2024: ৳5.8→৳6.7 +16%

Oct 29, 2024: ৳5.5→৳7.5 +36%

Feb 2, 2025: ৳5.7→৳7.4 +30%

Apr 29, 2025: ৳6.5→৳7.9 +22%

Aug 27, 2025: ৳6.2→৳7.2 +16%

Nov 16, 2025: ৳5.2→৳6.4 +23%

Mar 8, 2026: ৳5.5→৳6.7 +22%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5.4% / -1% / 4.9%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -9.1% / -1.7% / 8.3%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought|Bearish Harami

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (dormant/dirty)

Reference stopn/a

Reference target—

Timing notestay out

Elevated (score 234) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: DORMANT (26% >200-MA, flow ACC). Elevated sharp-fall risk 9%. [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), payout 321.0%, yield 6.0%]