SONALIPAPR
Sonali Paper & Board Mills Ltd. · Paper and Printing · Cat A48/100
Mixed
৳258.3
Score breakdown
Technical read
RSI (14)73.3
MACDbullish
Bollingerabove upper band
Price cycle (Wyckoff)DIST
Health trendimproving
Flow pressureaccumulation
Valuation
Fair value129.1 (90.3-167.8)
Upside-50.00%
Dividend yield+1.60%
Fundamental verdictSUSTAINABLE
ConfidenceLOW (re-rate ceiling, not target)
Levels
Resistance
৳265.5
৳274.1
৳283.9
৳296.8
Support
৳258.2
৳247.4
৳232.1
৳222.7
Historical bounce zones
May 29, 2025: ৳125→৳164.8 +32%
Jul 29, 2025: ৳151.6→৳274.1 +81%
Aug 27, 2025: ৳244→৳308 +26%
Sep 22, 2025: ৳246.1→৳314.9 +28%
Nov 16, 2025: ৳182.2→৳240 +32%
Dec 21, 2025: ৳201.1→৳244.2 +21%
Feb 1, 2026: ৳227.1→৳269.8 +19%
May 10, 2026: ৳208→৳246.9 +19%
Historical outlook
Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.
10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -6.2% / -1.3% / 5.5%
30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -10.4% / -2.4% / 8.7%
Signals: RSI>70 overbought|Above upper Bollinger|Stochastic>80
Reference levels
Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.
Entry readdip to 228.8–233.9
Reference stopclose<226.9 (buffer)
Reference targetride/trail; ref 340.1
Timing notebuy dips Jun-Aug; trim Sep-Oct; hold+trail
Elevated (score 224) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: ACCUMULATION (8% >200-MA, flow ACC). History of artificial price activity (regulator-cited). [fundamentals SUSTAINABLE, payout 56.0%, yield 1.6%]