TOSRIFA

Tosrifa Industries Limited · Textile · Cat B

44/100

Mixed

৳23.6

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)67.1

MACDbullish

Bollingerinside bands (+1.5σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)MARKUP

Health trendstable

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value12.7 (8.9-16.5)

Upside-46.00%

Dividend yield+1.60%

Fundamental verdictSUSTAINABLE

ConfidenceLOW (re-rate ceiling, not target)

Levels

Resistance

৳23.6

৳24.4

৳25.1

৳26.1

Support

৳23.2

৳22.5

৳21.7

৳21

Historical bounce zones

Mar 9, 2025: ৳20.4→৳25 +23%

Apr 27, 2025: ৳17.9→৳22.3 +25%

Jun 22, 2025: ৳17.6→৳21.6 +23%

Aug 14, 2025: ৳18.9→৳23.1 +22%

Nov 17, 2025: ৳14.5→৳17.7 +22%

Mar 8, 2026: ৳16→৳18.7 +17%

Apr 28, 2026: ৳16.8→৳20.7 +23%

Jun 23, 2026: ৳19.3→৳26.3 +36%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5% / -1% / 3.8%

30-day 50% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -8.9% / -1.8% / 6.6%

Signals: Three Outside Down

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readdip to 19.4–21.2

Reference stopclose<20.6 (buffer)

Reference targetride/trail; ref 34.0

Timing notebuy dips Jun-Aug; trim Sep-Oct; hold+trail

Elevated (score 192) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: DORMANT (30% >200-MA, flow ACC). HIGH sharp-fall risk 14% (top-decile). [fundamentals SUSTAINABLE, payout 53.0%, yield 1.6%]

Market activity

Insider activity (disclosed)

Buy 0 / Sell 0 in the last 90 days.