UNIONBANK

Union Bank PLC. · Bank · Cat Z

5/100

High risk

৳1.50 suspended

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)

MACD

Bollingertrades too rarely — indicators unavailable

Price cycle (Wyckoff)ACCUM

Health trendstable

Flow pressuredistribution

Valuation

Fair value12.6 (8.8-16.3)

Upside+737.00%

Dividend yield+33.30%

Fundamental verdictSUSTAINABLE

ConfidenceLOW (re-rate ceiling, not target)

Levels

Resistance

৳1.7

৳1.8

৳2

৳2.2

Support

৳1.4

Historical bounce zones

May 2, 2024: ৳7.2→৳8.3 +15%

Jul 25, 2024: ৳6.4→৳8.2 +28%

Aug 22, 2024: ৳6.3→৳7.6 +21%

Sep 25, 2024: ৳6.3→৳7.4 +17%

May 25, 2025: ৳2.9→৳3.6 +24%

Sep 9, 2025: ৳1.9→৳2.2 +16%

Sep 25, 2025: ৳1.4→৳2.4 +71%

Oct 13, 2025: ৳1.6→৳2 +25%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 29% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -4.7% / 1.1% / 8.1%

30-day 19% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -7% / 2.6% / 14.1%

Signals: RSI<30 oversold|Stretch<-30% vs MA200

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readdip to 1.6–1.8

Reference stopclose<1.6 (buffer)

Reference targetride/trail; ref 1.5

Timing notebuy dips Jun-Aug; trim Sep-Oct; hold+trail

Organic (score 80) — clean price history; historically holds its uptrend above the 50-day average. Real earnings. Z-cat. ⚠ PAPER-PROFIT — reports profit but NEGATIVE cash flow (accrual red flag; earnings not real cash). [fundamentals SUSTAINABLE, payout 32.0%, yield 33.3%]