UPGDCL

United Power Generation & Distribution Company Ltd. · Fuel and Power · Cat A

55/100

Mixed

৳130.7

DSE Hexagon

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (2)

⚠ Overbought on RSI (75)
⚠ Thin free float — prone to sharp swings

Rewards (5)

✓ Trades below estimated fair value
✓ Financial health improving
✓ No signs of artificial price activity
✓ Earnings trending up
✓ Strong return on equity (28%)

Score breakdown

Technical read

RSI (14)74.9

MACDbullish

Bollingerabove upper band

Price cycle (Wyckoff)MARKUP

Health trendimproving

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value215.3 (150.7-279.8)

Upside+65.00%

Dividend yield+5.10%

Fundamental verdictWATCH

ConfidenceLOW (re-rate ceiling, not target)

Levels

Resistance

৳132.3

৳136.4

৳143.4

৳151.8

Support

৳128.2

৳122.9

৳113.6

৳105.2

Historical bounce zones

Dec 21, 2020: ৳250.8→৳296.5 +18%

Apr 4, 2021: ৳253→৳313.6 +24%

Jun 11, 2024: ৳119.4→৳145 +21%

Aug 4, 2024: ৳125.9→৳163.3 +30%

Aug 22, 2024: ৳135.8→৳157.1 +16%

Oct 29, 2024: ৳120.6→৳155.2 +29%

Apr 29, 2025: ৳112→৳151.8 +36%

Mar 8, 2026: ৳111→৳139.7 +26%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -6% / -1.3% / 5.4%

30-day 50% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -10% / -2.3% / 8.4%

Signals: Above upper Bollinger

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readdip to 120.6–124.7

Reference stopclose<121.0 (buffer)

Reference targetride/trail; ref 162.9

Timing notebuy dips Jun-Aug; trim Sep-Oct; hold+trail

Organic (score 77) — clean price history; historically holds its uptrend above the 50-day average. Real earnings. [fundamentals WATCH, payout 31.0%, yield 5.1%]