DSE Analyst data: 2026-07-13

BDAUTOCA

Bangladesh Autocars Ltd. · Engineering · Cat B
0/100
High risk
৳210.8

DSE Hexagon

A mixed profile with no standout strength, held back by looks fully priced.

Value0Financial Health32Dividend1Quality49Momentum55Integrity28

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (4)

  • ⚠ Signs of concentrated-operator price activity
  • ⚠ Earnings trending down
  • ⚠ Dividend sustainability at risk
  • ⚠ Financial health deteriorating

Rewards (0)

No notable positives flagged.

Score breakdown

Price history & performance

52-week high৳252.6
52-week low৳87.0
From 52w high-16.5%
Beta1.11
7D -2.2%
1M -9.0%
3M +16.4%
6M +63.7%
1Y +143.1%
YTD +67.2%

Shareholder returns vs DSEX

BDAUTOCA+2.6%
DSEX+2.4%

BDAUTOCA outperformed the DSEX since Jul 8, 2026 — that's when we started tracking the index, so this window will get longer over time.

Volatility

Annualized volatility42.4%
Daily VaR (95%)-3.71%
Max drawdown (5y)-61.8%
Correlation to market0.43

Typical volatility for a DSE stock. Descriptive only — past volatility is not a forecast.

Technical read

RSI (14)47.6
MACDbearish
Bollingerinside bands (-0.3σ)
Price cycle (Wyckoff)
Health trenddeteriorating
Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()
Upside
Dividend yield+0.10%
Fundamental verdictAT-RISK
Confidence

Ownership

Institutional holding10.37%
Foreign holding0.0%
Free float59.57%

Sponsor, institutional, foreign and public holdings from the latest disclosed shareholding pattern. Descriptive only.

Share structure

Authorized capital৳100mn
Paid-up capital৳43.26mn
Face value৳10
Market lot1
Outstanding shares4,326,013
Last AGM28-12-2025
Fiscal year end30-Jun
Reserve & surplus (ex-OCI)৳-11mn
Other comprehensive income৳0mn

Financials

Recent P/E ratio

DateCurrent P/ETrailing P/E
Jul 14, 2026 1830 1464
Jul 13, 2026 1756.67 1405.33
Jul 12, 2026 1715 1372
Jul 9, 2026 1747.5 1398
Jul 8, 2026 1711.67 1369.33
Jul 7, 2026 1723.33 1378.67

Based on the latest un-audited financial statements. Descriptive only.

Dividend history

20252%
20242%
20232%
20224%
20214%
20203%
201910%
20183%

Earnings & NAV

YearEPSNAVDividend
2025 0.18 7.45 2%
2024 0.15 7.41 2%
2023 0.52 7.3 2%
2022 0.49 7.06 4%

Quarterly EPS — FY2026

Q10.02
Q20.03
Half-year0.05
Q30.04
Nine-month0.09

From disclosed annual reports and dividend declarations. Descriptive only, not a forecast.

Levels

Resistance

৳212
৳219
৳229
৳236.9

Support

৳210.5
৳203.6
৳197.4
৳188

Historical bounce zones

Oct 20, 2025: ৳95→৳111.9 +18%
Oct 27, 2025: ৳101.1→৳120 +19%
Nov 16, 2025: ৳95→৳127 +34%
Feb 9, 2026: ৳122.4→৳147.7 +21%
Mar 8, 2026: ৳125.6→৳194.9 +55%
Apr 5, 2026: ৳166.8→৳259 +55%
Apr 19, 2026: ৳230→৳269 +17%
May 6, 2026: ৳212→৳254.5 +20%

Sector peers

Other Engineering names, ranked by our analysis score (DSE has no market-cap feed). Descriptive comparison only.

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -4.8% / -0.9% / 4.3%
30-day 31% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -8.5% / -1.4% / 7.4%

Signals: Bullish Engulfing

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (dormant/dirty)
Reference stopn/a
Reference target
Timing notestay out

strong artificial activity (score 255); speculative profile — not core-quality. Phase: DORMANT (34% >200-MA, flow neut) -> watch. Elevated sharp-fall risk 10%. Solvency GREY zone (Altman Z 1.71, RECOVERING) — watch balance sheet. ⚠ PAPER-PROFIT — reports profit but NEGATIVE cash flow (accrual red flag; earnings not real cash). [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), payout 111.0%, yield 0.1%]

My notes

Educational market analysis for the Dhaka Stock Exchange. Descriptive information only — not investment advice, not a buy/sell recommendation, and not from a licensed advisor. Prices and analysis can be delayed or wrong; verify with your broker before acting.