DSE Analyst data: 2026-07-13

EBL1STMF

EBL First Mutual Fund · Mutual Funds · Cat A
8/100
High risk
৳4.50

DSE Hexagon

Stands out for trades below its estimated worth, held back by a weak earnings record.

Value74Financial Health50Dividend40Quality30Momentum60Integrity50

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (3)

  • ⚠ Earnings trending down
  • ⚠ Dividend sustainability at risk
  • ⚠ Financial health deteriorating

Rewards (2)

  • ✓ Trades below estimated fair value
  • ✓ In an accumulation phase

Score breakdown

Price history & performance

52-week high৳5.00
52-week low৳2.80
From 52w high-10.0%
Beta1.21
7D +12.5%
1M +18.4%
3M +12.5%
6M +32.4%
1Y +2.3%
YTD +45.2%

Shareholder returns vs DSEX

EBL1STMF+4.7%
DSEX+2.4%

EBL1STMF outperformed the DSEX since Jul 8, 2026 — that's when we started tracking the index, so this window will get longer over time.

Volatility

Annualized volatility44.5%
Daily VaR (95%)-4.0%
Max drawdown (5y)-72.0%
Correlation to market0.49

Typical volatility for a DSE stock. Descriptive only — past volatility is not a forecast.

Technical read

RSI (14)69.0
MACDbullish
Bollingerabove upper band
Price cycle (Wyckoff)ACCUM
Health trenddeteriorating
Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()
Upside
Dividend yield+14.30%
Fundamental verdictAT-RISK
Confidence

Ownership

Institutional holding61.93%
Foreign holding0.0%
Free float36.69%

Sponsor, institutional, foreign and public holdings from the latest disclosed shareholding pattern. Descriptive only.

Share structure

Authorized capital
Paid-up capital৳1,447.54mn
Face value৳10
Market lot1
Outstanding shares144,754,222
Last AGM
Fiscal year end30-Jun
Reserve & surplus (ex-OCI)৳-306.7mn
Other comprehensive income৳0mn

Financials

Recent P/E ratio

DateCurrent P/ETrailing P/E
Jul 14, 2026
Jul 13, 2026
Jul 12, 2026
Jul 9, 2026
Jul 8, 2026
Jul 7, 2026

Based on the latest un-audited financial statements. Descriptive only.

Dividend history

20226%
202113%
20193%
20182%
20172%

Earnings & NAV

YearEPSNAVDividend
2024 -1.89 7.88 0%
2023 -0.29 9.77 0%
2022 0.19 10.66 6%
2021 2.61 11.76 13%

Quarterly EPS — FY2025

Q10.54
Q2-0.56
Half-year-0.03
Q3-0.51
Nine-month-0.54

From disclosed annual reports and dividend declarations. Descriptive only, not a forecast.

Levels

Resistance

৳4.6
৳4.8
৳5
৳5.2

Support

৳4.4
৳4.2
৳4
৳3.8

Historical bounce zones

Aug 24, 2025: ৳3.9→৳4.6 +18%
Nov 16, 2025: ৳2.6→৳3.5 +35%
Nov 24, 2025: ৳3→৳4.1 +37%
Dec 30, 2025: ৳2.9→৳3.4 +17%
Jan 26, 2026: ৳2.9→৳4 +38%
Mar 8, 2026: ৳3.4→৳4.2 +24%
May 6, 2026: ৳3.6→৳4.4 +22%
May 18, 2026: ৳3.6→৳4.3 +19%

Sector peers

Other Mutual Funds names, ranked by our analysis score (DSE has no market-cap feed). Descriptive comparison only.

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5.6% / -1.1% / 5.1%
30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -9.4% / -1.9% / 8.3%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought|Above upper Bollinger|Bearish Harami

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (dormant/dirty)
Reference stopn/a
Reference target
Timing notestay out

Elevated (score 175) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: DORMANT (21% >200-MA, flow ACC). Elevated sharp-fall risk 10%. [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 14.3%]

My notes

Educational market analysis for the Dhaka Stock Exchange. Descriptive information only — not investment advice, not a buy/sell recommendation, and not from a licensed advisor. Prices and analysis can be delayed or wrong; verify with your broker before acting.