DSE Analyst data: 2026-07-13

EBLNRBMF

EBL NRB Mutual Fund · Mutual Funds · Cat A
14/100
High risk
৳3.40

DSE Hexagon

Stands out for trades below its estimated worth, held back by a weak earnings record.

Value79Financial Health50Dividend40Quality30Momentum60Integrity50

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (3)

  • ⚠ Earnings trending down
  • ⚠ Dividend sustainability at risk
  • ⚠ Financial health deteriorating

Rewards (2)

  • ✓ Trades below estimated fair value
  • ✓ In an accumulation phase

Score breakdown

Price history & performance

52-week high৳3.80
52-week low৳2.10
From 52w high-10.5%
Beta
7D +9.7%
1M +9.7%
3M +6.2%
6M +36.0%
1Y -8.1%
YTD +47.8%

Shareholder returns vs DSEX

EBLNRBMF+6.2%
DSEX+2.4%

EBLNRBMF outperformed the DSEX since Jul 8, 2026 — that's when we started tracking the index, so this window will get longer over time.

Volatility

Annualized volatility36.4%
Daily VaR (95%)-3.28%
Max drawdown (5y)-74.1%
Correlation to market

Typical volatility for a DSE stock. Descriptive only — past volatility is not a forecast.

Technical read

RSI (14)63.4
MACDbullish
Bollingerabove upper band
Price cycle (Wyckoff)ACCUM
Health trenddeteriorating
Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()
Upside
Dividend yield+21.90%
Fundamental verdictAT-RISK
Confidence

Ownership

Institutional holding37.93%
Foreign holding0.0%
Free float53.18%

Sponsor, institutional, foreign and public holdings from the latest disclosed shareholding pattern. Descriptive only.

Share structure

Authorized capital
Paid-up capital৳2,242.61mn
Face value৳10
Market lot1
Outstanding shares224,261,303
Last AGM
Fiscal year end30-Jun
Reserve & surplus (ex-OCI)৳-531.2mn
Other comprehensive income৳0mn

Financials

Recent P/E ratio

DateCurrent P/ETrailing P/E
Jul 14, 2026
Jul 13, 2026
Jul 12, 2026
Jul 9, 2026
Jul 8, 2026
Jul 7, 2026

Based on the latest un-audited financial statements. Descriptive only.

Dividend history

20237%
202211%
20216%
20193%
20182%
20172%

Earnings & NAV

YearEPSNAVDividend
2024 -1.93 8.25 0%
2023 0.25 10.88 7%
2022 1.22 11.74 11%
2021 1.92 12.27 6%

Quarterly EPS — FY2025

Q10.46
Q2-0.47
Half-year-0.01
Q3-0.48
Nine-month-0.49

From disclosed annual reports and dividend declarations. Descriptive only, not a forecast.

Levels

Resistance

৳3.5
৳3.7
৳3.9
৳4.1

Support

৳3.3
৳3.2
৳3.1
৳3

Historical bounce zones

Mar 25, 2025: ৳3.4→৳4.2 +24%
May 7, 2025: ৳3.5→৳4.1 +17%
Nov 13, 2025: ৳2→৳2.5 +25%
Nov 23, 2025: ৳2.2→৳2.8 +27%
Feb 8, 2026: ৳2.3→৳3 +30%
Mar 1, 2026: ৳2.5→৳2.9 +16%
Mar 8, 2026: ৳2.4→৳3.5 +46%
May 7, 2026: ৳3→৳3.7 +23%

Sector peers

Other Mutual Funds names, ranked by our analysis score (DSE has no market-cap feed). Descriptive comparison only.

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5% / -1% / 4.6%
30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -8.3% / -1.5% / 7.8%

Signals: Above upper Bollinger|Bearish Harami

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readSLEEVE only ≈3.4 (or dip 3.1)
Reference stopclose<3.1 (raw, tight)
Reference target⅓ at 4.0, trail rest
Timing notesleeve; enter Nov-Jan; OUT by Jun/Sep

Elevated (score 116) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: ACCUMULATION (21% >200-MA, flow ACC). [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 21.9%]

My notes

Educational market analysis for the Dhaka Stock Exchange. Descriptive information only — not investment advice, not a buy/sell recommendation, and not from a licensed advisor. Prices and analysis can be delayed or wrong; verify with your broker before acting.