GPHISPAT

GPH Ispat Ltd. · Engineering · Cat B

0/100

High risk

৳19.5

DSE Hexagon

Stands out for trades below its estimated worth and constructive price action, held back by little dividend.

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (3)

⚠ Earnings trending down
⚠ Dividend sustainability at risk
⚠ Financial health deteriorating

Rewards (1)

✓ Trades below estimated fair value

Score breakdown

Price history & performance

52-week high৳22.2

52-week low৳15.2

From 52w high-12.2%

Beta1.07

7D +8.3%

1M +8.3%

3M +19.6%

6M +17.5%

1Y +12.7%

YTD +21.9%

Shareholder returns vs DSEX

GPHISPAT+1.6%

DSEX+2.4%

GPHISPAT underperformed the DSEX since Jul 8, 2026 — that's when we started tracking the index, so this window will get longer over time.

Volatility

Annualized volatility32.8%

Daily VaR (95%)-2.87%

Max drawdown (5y)-75.8%

Correlation to market0.71

Typical volatility for a DSE stock. Descriptive only — past volatility is not a forecast.

Technical read

RSI (14)69.5

MACDbullish

Bollingerinside bands (+1.8σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)MARKUP

Health trenddeteriorating

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()

Upside—

Dividend yield+2.50%

Fundamental verdictAT-RISK

Confidence—

Ownership

Institutional holding19.3%

Foreign holding0.0%

Free float50.48%

Sponsor, institutional, foreign and public holdings from the latest disclosed shareholding pattern. Descriptive only.

Share structure

Authorized capital৳10,000mn

Paid-up capital৳4,838.83mn

Face value৳10

Market lot1

Outstanding shares483,883,456

Last AGM31-12-2025

Fiscal year end30-Jun

Reserve & surplus (ex-OCI)৳18,892mn

Other comprehensive income৳158.6mn

Financials

Recent P/E ratio

DateCurrent P/ETrailing P/E

Jul 14, 2026 — —

Jul 13, 2026 — —

Jul 12, 2026 — —

Jul 9, 2026 — —

Jul 8, 2026 — —

Jul 7, 2026 — —

Based on the latest un-audited financial statements. Descriptive only.

Dividend history

20255%

202410%

20235%

20225.5%

202120%

20205%

20195%

20175%

201612%

201517%

Earnings & NAV

YearEPSNAVDividend

2025 -0.51 51.72 5%

2024 1.77 52.43 10%

2023 0.58 53.08 5%

2022 3.42 28.79 5.5%

Quarterly EPS — FY2026

Q10.05

Q20.04

Half-year0.09

Q3-0.31

Nine-month-0.22

From disclosed annual reports and dividend declarations. Descriptive only, not a forecast.

Levels

Resistance

৳20.4

৳21.3

৳22

৳22.7

Support

৳19.4

৳18.7

৳17.9

৳17

Historical bounce zones

Aug 22, 2024: ৳26.3→৳33.1 +26%

Oct 28, 2024: ৳21.9→৳25.6 +17%

Feb 20, 2025: ৳19.2→৳23.3 +21%

Jun 4, 2025: ৳16.7→৳20.4 +22%

Aug 13, 2025: ৳18.5→৳22.7 +23%

Nov 16, 2025: ৳14.6→৳18.4 +26%

Feb 1, 2026: ৳15.4→৳18.1 +18%

May 19, 2026: ৳15.3→৳18.6 +22%

Sector peers

Other Engineering names, ranked by our analysis score (DSE has no market-cap feed). Descriptive comparison only.

ScripScorePriceUpsideYield

BSRMLTDBangladesh Steel Re-Rolling Mills Limited 81 ৳106.9 +246.00% +4.80%NTLTUBESNational Tubes Limited 63 ৳74.3 -58.00% +0.10%WALTONHILWalton Hi-Tech Industries PLC 63 ৳409.9 +50.00% +4.40%RANFOUNDRYRangpur Foundry Ltd. 58 ৳164.1 -58.00% +1.40%BSRMSTEELBSRM Steels Limited 52 ৳93.5 +165.00% +5.50%QUASEMINDQuasem Industries Ltd. 48 ৳45.3 -59.00% +0.30%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5% / -1.2% / 3.6%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -8.7% / -1.7% / 6.7%

Signals: Bearish Engulfing

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readSLEEVE only ≈19.5 (or dip 18.1)

Reference stopclose<18.1 (raw, tight)

Reference target⅓ at 22.3, trail rest

Timing notesleeve; enter Nov-Jan; OUT by Jun/Sep

Elevated (score 225) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: ACCUMULATION (13% >200-MA, flow ACC). SLOW-BURN evasion: +91% stretch / 185% run on only 8 circuits — score UNDER-rates it; consistent with concentrated-operator-style behaviour. ⚠ SOLVENCY DISTRESS (Altman Z 0.97, STABLE) — bankruptcy risk. high-risk. [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 2.5%]