DSE Analyst data: 2026-07-13

PHPMF1

PHP First Mutual Fund · Mutual Funds · Cat A
8/100
High risk
৳3.60

DSE Hexagon

Stands out for trades below its estimated worth, held back by a weak earnings record.

Value78Financial Health50Dividend40Quality30Momentum50Integrity50

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (3)

  • ⚠ Earnings trending down
  • ⚠ Dividend sustainability at risk
  • ⚠ Financial health deteriorating

Rewards (1)

  • ✓ Trades below estimated fair value

Score breakdown

Price history & performance

52-week high৳3.70
52-week low৳2.20
From 52w high-2.7%
Beta1.27
7D +12.5%
1M +20.0%
3M +2.9%
6M +44.0%
1Y +9.1%
YTD +50.0%

Shareholder returns vs DSEX

PHPMF1+5.9%
DSEX+2.4%

PHPMF1 outperformed the DSEX since Jul 8, 2026 — that's when we started tracking the index, so this window will get longer over time.

Volatility

Annualized volatility35.5%
Daily VaR (95%)-3.23%
Max drawdown (5y)-72.2%
Correlation to market0.52

Typical volatility for a DSE stock. Descriptive only — past volatility is not a forecast.

Technical read

RSI (14)68.3
MACDbullish
Bollingerabove upper band
Price cycle (Wyckoff)
Health trenddeteriorating
Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value ()
Upside
Dividend yield+6.10%
Fundamental verdictAT-RISK
Confidence

Ownership

Institutional holding40.34%
Foreign holding0.0%
Free float47.94%

Sponsor, institutional, foreign and public holdings from the latest disclosed shareholding pattern. Descriptive only.

Share structure

Authorized capital
Paid-up capital৳2,818.93mn
Face value৳10
Market lot1
Outstanding shares281,893,264
Last AGM
Fiscal year end30-Jun
Reserve & surplus (ex-OCI)৳-699.3mn
Other comprehensive income৳0mn

Financials

Recent P/E ratio

DateCurrent P/ETrailing P/E
Jul 14, 2026
Jul 13, 2026
Jul 12, 2026
Jul 9, 2026
Jul 8, 2026
Jul 7, 2026

Based on the latest un-audited financial statements. Descriptive only.

Dividend history

20232%
20227%
20218.5%
20193%
20183%
20172.5%

Earnings & NAV

YearEPSNAVDividend
2024 -1.87 8.15 0%
2023 -0.05 10.22 2%
2022 0.55 10.97 7%
2021 2.04 11.85 8.5%

Quarterly EPS — FY2025

Q10.74
Q2-0.51
Half-year0.22
Q3-0.3
Nine-month-0.07

From disclosed annual reports and dividend declarations. Descriptive only, not a forecast.

Levels

Resistance

৳3.7
৳3.9
৳4.4
৳4.7

Support

৳3.5
৳3.3
৳3.2
৳3.1

Historical bounce zones

Jan 29, 2026: ৳2.2→৳2.7 +23%
Feb 9, 2026: ৳2.4→৳3.1 +29%
Feb 22, 2026: ৳2.5→৳2.9 +16%
Mar 1, 2026: ৳2.6→৳3 +15%
Mar 8, 2026: ৳2.5→৳3.8 +52%
Mar 31, 2026: ৳3.3→৳3.8 +15%
May 6, 2026: ৳3→৳3.6 +20%
Jun 23, 2026: ৳3→৳3.5 +17%

Sector peers

Other Mutual Funds names, ranked by our analysis score (DSE has no market-cap feed). Descriptive comparison only.

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5.3% / -1.1% / 4.8%
30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -8.8% / -1.7% / 8%

Signals: Above upper Bollinger|Stochastic>80|Bearish Harami

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readAVOID (dormant/dirty)
Reference stopn/a
Reference target
Timing notestay out

Elevated (score 111) — acceptable only with real earnings and sponsor backing; artificial-activity lens applies. Phase: DORMANT (25% >200-MA, flow ACC). [fundamentals AT-RISK (dividend cut risk), yield 6.1%]

My notes

Educational market analysis for the Dhaka Stock Exchange. Descriptive information only — not investment advice, not a buy/sell recommendation, and not from a licensed advisor. Prices and analysis can be delayed or wrong; verify with your broker before acting.