PADMAOIL

Padma Oil PLC. · Fuel and Power · Cat A

77/100

Fair

৳198.4

DSE Hexagon

Stands out for trades below its estimated worth and a meaningful dividend.

Six lenses, each scored 0–100 from the analysis. Integrity is DSE-specific — it reads how organic the price action is (high = clean, low = concentrated-operator risk). Descriptive only, not a recommendation.

Risks & rewards

Risks (0)

No notable risk flags.

Rewards (7)

✓ Trades below estimated fair value
✓ Sustainable dividend yield (7.8%)
✓ Financial health improving
✓ In an accumulation phase
✓ No signs of artificial price activity
✓ Earnings trending up
✓ Strong return on equity (21%)

Score breakdown

Price history & performance

52-week high৳204.6

52-week low৳164.1

From 52w high-3.0%

Beta0.39

7D -1.8%

1M +10.0%

3M +12.4%

6M +19.4%

1Y +10.8%

YTD +17.3%

Shareholder returns vs DSEX

PADMAOIL-2.9%

DSEX+2.4%

PADMAOIL underperformed the DSEX since Jul 8, 2026 — that's when we started tracking the index, so this window will get longer over time.

Volatility

Annualized volatility16.5%

Daily VaR (95%)-1.5%

Max drawdown (5y)-32.0%

Correlation to market0.47

Calmer than most DSE stocks. Descriptive only — past volatility is not a forecast.

Technical read

RSI (14)67.5

MACDbullish

Bollingerinside bands (+0.9σ)

Price cycle (Wyckoff)ACCUM

Health trendimproving

Flow pressureaccumulation

Valuation

Fair value597.0 (417.9-776.1)

Upside+201.00%

Dividend yield+7.80%

Fundamental verdictSUSTAINABLE

ConfidenceLOW (re-rate ceiling, not target)

Ownership

Institutional holding31.49%

Foreign holding0.02%

Free float16.08%

Sponsor, institutional, foreign and public holdings from the latest disclosed shareholding pattern. Descriptive only.

Share structure

Authorized capital৳1,000mn

Paid-up capital৳982.33mn

Face value৳10

Market lot1

Outstanding shares98,232,750

Last AGM03-01-2026

Fiscal year end30-Jun

Reserve & surplus (ex-OCI)৳26,017.7mn

Other comprehensive income৳0mn

Financials

Recent P/E ratio

DateCurrent P/ETrailing P/E

Jul 14, 2026 3.41 3.27

Jul 13, 2026 3.38 3.25

Jul 12, 2026 3.46 3.32

Jul 9, 2026 3.49 3.35

Jul 8, 2026 3.48 3.34

Jul 7, 2026 3.48 3.34

Based on the latest un-audited financial statements. Descriptive only.

Dividend history

2025160%

2024140%

2023135%

2022125%

2021125%

2020125%

2019130%

2018130%

2017110%

2016100%

2015100%

Earnings & NAV

YearEPSNAVDividend

2025 57.3 274.86 160%

2024 41.59 231.56 140%

2023 35.58 203.46 135%

2022 24.47 180.38 125%

Quarterly EPS — FY2026

Q116.04

Q214.5

Half-year30.54

Q313.46

Nine-month44.02

From disclosed annual reports and dividend declarations. Descriptive only, not a forecast.

Levels

Resistance

৳198.8

৳208.2

৳214.5

৳221

Support

৳197.8

৳191.4

৳185

৳179.2

Historical bounce zones

Mar 18, 2020: ৳155→৳209.8 +35%

Aug 20, 2020: ৳190→৳231.8 +22%

Nov 29, 2020: ৳188.2→৳226 +20%

Jun 3, 2021: ৳193→৳257 +33%

Dec 27, 2021: ৳207.6→৳238.8 +15%

Jun 19, 2024: ৳179→৳229.9 +28%

Oct 23, 2024: ৳183.5→৳227 +24%

May 29, 2025: ৳174.4→৳209 +20%

Sector peers

Other Fuel and Power names, ranked by our analysis score (DSE has no market-cap feed). Descriptive comparison only.

ScripScorePriceUpsideYield

MPETROLEUMMeghna Petroleum Limited 83 ৳215.5 +197.00% +9.40%JAMUNAOILJamuna Oil Company Limited 82 ৳184.4 +232.00% +9.90%MJLBDMJL Bangladesh PLC. 79 ৳96.0 +23.00% +5.50%LINDEBDLinde Bangladesh Limited 55 ৳748.3 -69.00% +1.40%UPGDCLUnited Power Generation & Distribution Company Ltd. 55 ৳130.7 +65.00% +5.10%DOREENPWRDoreen Power Generations and Systems Limited 29 ৳32.0 +4.00% +3.20%

Historical outlook

Based on how similar setups behaved historically — not a prediction of what will happen.

10-day 40% vs 40% market avg Typical move: -5.9% / -1.2% / 4.9%

30-day 41% vs 42% market avg Typical move: -10.2% / -2.3% / 7.9%

Signals: RSI>70 overbought|Three Outside Down

Reference levels

Descriptive reference points from the analysis — not instructions to buy or sell.

Entry readdip to 181.8–190.9

Reference stopclose<185.2 (buffer)

Reference targetride/trail; ref 249.8

Timing notebuy dips Jun-Aug; trim Sep-Oct; hold+trail

Organic (score 26) — clean price history; historically holds its uptrend above the 50-day average. Real earnings. Solvency GREY zone (Altman Z 1.82, RECOVERING) — watch balance sheet. ⚠ PAPER-PROFIT — reports profit but NEGATIVE cash flow (accrual red flag; earnings not real cash). [fundamentals SUSTAINABLE, payout 28.0%, yield 7.8%]